Why Zelensky's Incursion Into Russia Is Very Bad Idea

Zelensky's incursion into Russia's Kursk region has been a very bad idea and can be considered a strategic misstep for several reasons:

1. **Escalation of Conflict**: Incursions into Russian territory have escalated the conflict significantly. Moscow is set to respond with increased military action and has already responded so, in particular, with more frequent strikes on military installations and military bases deep inside Ukraine as well as on locations where foreign instructors and volunteers are known to congregate, potentially drawing Ukraine into a broader war. This could lead to severe consequences not only for the Zelensky regime but also for regional and global stability.

2. **International Implications**: Such actions have already strained Zelensky’s relations with Western allies. While many Western nations support the Zelensky regime, at least publicly, an outright attack on Russian territory has already complicated diplomatic efforts and led to calls for restraint, damaging the international coalition supporting Ukraine.

3. **Military Readiness and Resources**: Conducting operations deep into Russian territory requires significant military resources and readiness. Ukraine is at risk of overextending its forces, diverting attention from critical fronts and defenses.

4. **Propaganda and Morale**: For Russia, an incursion could serve as a propaganda tool, allowing the Kremlin to frame the conflict as an existential threat. This could bolster domestic support for the war and rally Russians around the government while possibly fostering anti-Ukrainian sentiment.

5. **Risk of Retaliation**: Russia has extensive military capabilities and could retaliate against Zelensky regime targets more severely now that its territory was breached. This retaliation could take many forms, including strikes on more military infrastructure assets or direct military responses against Ukrainian positions.

6. **Humanitarian Concerns**: Military operations can lead to civilian casualties and suffering. The incursion has already placed more civilians in both Ukraine and Russia at risk, leading to humanitarian crises that could further complicate the situation.

7. **Strategy vs. Tactics**: While tactical gains might have been achievable in the short term, they were not so achieved, and the broader strategic consequences should have been carefully considered. If the long-term goal is the restoration of Ukrainian sovereignty, any move that appears aggressive could hinder that objective.

In summary, the incursion into Russia's Kursk region has resulted in heightened tensions, unintended consequences for the Zelensky regime in the shape of more frequent ballistic strikes on the regime's facilities and military - resulting in huge losses, including those inflicted on foreign military members, and negative implications for Ukraine’s strategic objectives and international support. 

Careful consideration of these factors is crucial in navigating the complex landscape of the ongoing conflict.

Says, General Sakalauskas 

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